Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000773 0.000828 0.000886 0.000951 0.001023 0.001100 0.001190
2026-01-11 0.000686 0.000760 0.000842 0.000939 0.001051 0.001179 0.001336
2026-01-18 0.000632 0.000717 0.000814 0.000934 0.001078 0.001250 0.001471
2026-01-25 0.000675 0.000787 0.000918 0.001087 0.001302 0.001569 0.001935
2026-02-01 0.000619 0.000732 0.000868 0.001047 0.001281 0.001581 0.002006
2026-02-08 0.000576 0.000690 0.000830 0.001018 0.001270 0.001601 0.002088
2026-02-15 0.000547 0.000662 0.000807 0.001006 0.001277 0.001646 0.002204
2026-02-22 0.000515 0.000631 0.000777 0.000981 0.001266 0.001661 0.002277
2026-03-01 0.000483 0.000596 0.000741 0.000946 0.001236 0.001647 0.002305
2026-03-08 0.000462 0.000575 0.000722 0.000933 0.001238 0.001678 0.002402
2026-03-15 0.000442 0.000554 0.000702 0.000916 0.001231 0.001695 0.002477
2026-03-22 0.000412 0.000519 0.000662 0.000869 0.001178 0.001639 0.002427
2026-03-29 0.000387 0.000491 0.000631 0.000839 0.001152 0.001630 0.002470
2026-04-05 0.000370 0.000474 0.000615 0.000828 0.001156 0.001668 0.002599
2026-04-12 0.000356 0.000461 0.000604 0.000824 0.001169 0.001722 0.002762
2026-04-19 0.000384 0.000506 0.000679 0.000953 0.001403 0.002170 0.003735
2026-04-26 0.000363 0.000481 0.000649 0.000920 0.001369 0.002149 0.003781
2026-05-03 0.000346 0.000461 0.000627 0.000895 0.001349 0.002150 0.003873
2026-05-10 0.000333 0.000447 0.000613 0.000885 0.001351 0.002193 0.004061
2026-05-17 0.000319 0.000431 0.000594 0.000864 0.001334 0.002196 0.004161
2026-05-24 0.000304 0.000411 0.000570 0.000834 0.001298 0.002161 0.004168
2026-05-31 0.000294 0.000400 0.000558 0.000824 0.001297 0.002194 0.004341
2026-06-07 0.000284 0.000388 0.000544 0.000809 0.001287 0.002208 0.004470